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Part of the BCS Throughout Its Entire 16-Year Run...

Showing Which Teams Have the Best Win-Loss Records Considering Their Schedules—to Date

Only 1 Team Ends the Regular Season Undefeated

  • #1 (12-0) Oregon is almost a full game ahead of the rest of the field, as the Ducks would be close to #1 even with a loss, given their schedule
  • The CFP Selection Committee looks poised to pick 4 SEC teams (including the SEC champion) for the playoff, yet only 2 SEC teams are in the current top-10
  • The committee is overrating 2-loss Tennessee (#16 in this week’s Anderson & Hester Rankings), which has only 1 win versus the current top-25 (at home vs. #12 Alabama) and lost to #56 Arkansas
  • Meanwhile, the committee is underrating various Big 12 teams—for example, it had 2-loss BYU (#10 in this week’s Anderson & Hester Rankings) 11 places behind Tennessee last week (#8 to #19), despite BYU’s having played a tougher schedule than the Vols and having handed #5 SMU its only loss, at SMU
  • The Big Ten, meanwhile, deserves to get 4 teams into the playoff field, as it has 4 of the top 7 teams
  • #18 Michigan has played the nation’s toughest schedule, including 4 games versus the current top-10
  • Notre Dame merits the #4 ranking on the basis of its 11-1 record and above-average schedule, but the Irish have played only 1 top-25 team (#25 Louisville)
  • None of the top 5 teams have played a road or neutral-site game against a current .700 team, so they haven’t been all that well-tested
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The Jeff Anderson & Chris Hester
College Football Computer Rankings, as of Dec. 2

•Nov. 25 Rankings
•Nov. 20 Rankings

•Final 2023-24 Rankings
•Jan. 3, 2024 Rankings
•Final ’23 Pre-Bowl Rankings
Rating
 W 
 L 
Sched.
Strength
Sched. 
Rank
vs. Current
Top-10
vs. Current
#11-25
Other 
Losses
1.
 Oregon
.832
12
0
.552
43
2-0
2-0
0
2.
 Texas
.791
11
1
.557
40
0-1
1-0
0
3.
 Penn State
.780
11
1
.541
50
0-1
1-0
0
4.
 Notre Dame
.777
11
1
.537
55
0-0
1-0
1
5.
 SMU
.773
11
1
.532
58
0-1
1-0
0
6.
 Ohio State
.772
10
2
.593
19
2-1
0-1
0
7.
 Indiana
.770
11
1
.528
59
0-1
1-0
0
8.
 Georgia
.763
10
2
.580
23
1-0
2-2
0
9.
 Boise State
.738
11
1
.484
74
0-1
0-0
0
10.
 BYU
.733
10
2
.540
51
1-0
0-1
1

Rank Team 
Rating
 W 
 L 
Sched. 
Strength
Sched. 
Rank
 Conference
Rankings
Rating
W*
 L*
Sched.
Strength*
11.
 Iowa State
.732
10
2
.539
53
   Southeastern
.635
55
9
.408
12.
 Alabama
.731
9
3
.594
18
   Big Ten
.613
43
11
.429
13.
 Arizona State
.723
10
2
.527
60
   Atlantic Coast
.586
47
21
.470
14.
 South Carolina
.720
9
3
.581
21
   Big 12
.582
33
11
.429
15.
 Miami, Fla.
.717
10
2
.521
62
   Sun Belt
.461
28
27
.456
16.
 Tennessee
.709
10
2
.511
67
   Mountain West
.434
28
33
.459
17.
 Illinois
.705
9
3
.563
37
   American Athletic
.429
27
27
.429
18.
 Michigan
.698
7
5
.654
1
   Mid-American
.424
20
28
.474
19.
 LSU
.696
8
4
.604
9
   Conference USA
.343
13
26
.439
20.
 Mississippi
.692
9
3
.547
47
   *non-conference play        
21.
 Missouri
.686
9
3
.540
52
    
22.
 Syracuse
.685
9
3
.539
54
  
23.
 Clemson
.680
9
3
.533
57
  
24.
 Colorado
.674
9
3
.527
61
  
25.
 Louisville
.668
8
4
.573
30
  
n/a n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a


 

RANK Team Rating Win Lose Schedule Strength Schedule Strength BCS Football Rankings RANK Team Rating Win Lose Schedule Strength Schedule Strength
Rank Team 
Rating
W
L
Sched. 
Strength
Sched. 
Rank
   Rank Team 
Rating
W
L
Sched. 
Strength
Sched. 
Rank
26.
 Texas A&M
.666
8
4
.570
32
  
81.
 Jacksonville St.
.483
8
4
.384
130
27.
 Army
.665
10
1
.403
123
  
82.
 Liberty
.482
8
3
.347
134
28.
 Duke
.662
9
3
.513
66
  
83.
 Buffalo
.481
8
4
.381
131
29.
 Kansas State
.660
8
4
.564
35
  
84.
 UCF
.476
4
8
.576
27
30.
 Iowa
.659
8
4
.563
36
  
85.
 Bowling Green
.463
7
5
.414
112
31.
 UNLV
.656
10
2
.449
95
  
86.
 East Carolina
.463
7
5
.413
115
32.
 Baylor
.646
8
4
.549
45
  
87.
 Northern Illinois
.459
7
5
.410
118
33.
 Texas Tech
.646
8
4
.549
46
  
88.
 South Florida
.458
6
6
.458
87
34.
 Florida
.645
7
5
.598
12
  
89.
 South Alabama
.458
6
6
.458
88
35.
 Memphis
.632
10
2
.424
107
  
90.
 Old Dominion
.457
5
7
.507
68
36.
 Tulane
.632
9
3
.481
78
  
91.
 Arizona
.453
4
8
.554
42
37.
 USC
.630
6
6
.630
3
  
92.
 Fresno State
.452
6
6
.452
92
38.
 Minnesota
.626
7
5
.578
24
  
93.
 Appalachian St.
.452
5
6
.479
79
39.
 Georgia Tech
.623
7
5
.575
29
  
94.
 North Texas
.452
6
6
.452
93
40.
 TCU
.620
8
4
.520
64
  
95.
 Coastal Carolina
.451
6
6
.451
94
41.
 Louisiana 
.616
10
2
.408
121
  
96.
 Wake Forest
.445
4
8
.547
49
42.
 Oklahoma
.612
6
6
.612
6
  
97.
 Toledo
.443
7
5
.395
125
43.
 Boston College
.611
7
5
.562
38
  
98.
 UTSA
.438
6
6
.438
100
44.
 Rutgers
.606
7
5
.557
41
  
99.
 Oregon State
.435
5
7
.485
73
45.
 Washington
.603
6
6
.603
10
  
100.
 Charlotte
.432
5
7
.482
77
46.
 Marshall
.602
9
3
.449
96
  
101.
 Stanford
.427
3
9
.580
22
47.
 Navy
.600
8
3
.461
85
  
102.
 LA Monroe
.417
5
7
.467
81
48.
 UCLA
.597
5
7
.644
2
  
103.
 Oklahoma State
.414
3
9
.568
34
49.
 Virginia Tech
.595
6
6
.595
15
  
104.
 Western Michigan
.408
6
6
.408
119
50.
 Pittsburgh
.584
7
5
.535
56
  
105.
 Florida State
.400
2
10
.608
7
51.
 Vanderbilt
.577
6
6
.577
25
  
106.
 Rice
.398
4
8
.498
71
52.
 Nebraska
.577
6
6
.577
26
  
107.
 Mississippi State
.393
2
10
.602
11
53.
 West Virginia
.568
6
6
.568
33
  
108.
 Air Force
.390
5
7
.439
99
54.
 Kansas
.567
5
7
.615
5
  
109.
 Hawaii
.385
5
7
.434
102
55.
 Georgia Southern
.563
8
4
.462
84
  
110.
 Purdue
.361
1
11
.629
4
56.
 Arkansas
.551
6
6
.551
44
  
111.
 Troy
.361
4
8
.459
86
57.
 Michigan State
.547
5
7
.597
13
  
112.
 Akron
.359
4
8
.457
89
58.
 Ohio
.543
9
3
.390
128
  
113.
 Utah State
.355
4
8
.452
91
59.
 Sam Houston St.
.539
9
3
.387
129
  
114.
 New Mexico
.346
5
7
.393
126
60.
 Washington State
.538
8
4
.437
101
  
115.
 Eastern Michigan
.344
5
7
.391
127
61.
 Wisconsin
.537
5
7
.586
20
  
116.
 Georgia State
.341
3
9
.490
72
62.
 Cincinnati
.526
5
7
.575
28
  
117.
 Nevada
.339
3
10
.500
70
63.
 Colorado State
.525
8
4
.424
108
  
118.
 Temple
.335
3
9
.483
75
64.
 Connecticut
.523
8
4
.422
109
  
119.
 UAB
.335
3
9
.483
76
65.
 Virginia
.522
5
7
.571
31
  
120.
 Louisiana Tech
.327
5
7
.373
132
66.
 N.C. State
.521
6
6
.521
63
  
121.
 Wyoming
.326
3
9
.474
80
67.
 North Carolina
.517
6
6
.517
65
  
122.
 Central Michigan
.307
4
8
.399
124
68.
 Miami, Ohio
.514
8
4
.414
114
  
123.
 Ball State
.291
3
9
.433
104
69.
 James Madison
.513
8
4
.413
116
  
124.
 Florida Atlantic
.289
3
9
.430
105
70.
 Auburn
.510
5
7
.560
39
  
125.
 San Diego State
.286
3
9
.426
106
71.
 Western Kentucky
.508
8
4
.408
120
  
126.
 Fla. International
.284
4
8
.373
133
72.
 Maryland
.506
4
8
.606
8
  
127.
 Mid. Tenn. St.
.281
3
9
.421
110
73.
 California
.505
6
6
.505
69
  
128.
 Tulsa
.276
3
9
.414
111
74.
 Utah
.497
5
7
.547
48
  
129.
 UTEP
.275
3
9
.414
113
75.
 Northwestern
.495
4
8
.595
14
  
130.
 New Mexico St.
.268
3
9
.405
122
76.
 Houston
.495
4
8
.595
16
  
131.
 Massachusetts
.263
2
10
.455
90
77.
 Kentucky
.495
4
8
.595
17
  
132.
 Kennesaw St.
.231
2
10
.412
117
78.
 Arkansas State
.492
7
5
.442
97
  
133.
 Southern Miss
.224
1
11
.464
83
79.
 Texas State
.492
7
5
.442
98
  
134.
 Kent State
.178
0
12
.464
82
80.
 San Jose State
.483
7
5
.433
103
  
 
  
 
 
 
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 
 
  
 
  
 
 
 
 
 

 
The Anderson & Hester Rankings are distinct in four ways: 

1. Unlike the polls, these rankings do not reward teams for running up scores.  Teams are rewarded for beating quality opponents, which is the object of the game.  Posting large margins of victory, which is not the object of the game, is not considered. 

2. Unlike the polls, these rankings do not prejudge teams.  These rankings first appear after the season’s tenth week, and each team’s ranking reflects its actual accomplishments — on the field, to date — not its perceived potential. 

3. These rankings compute the most accurate strength of schedule ratings.  Each team’s opponents and opponents’ opponents are judged not only by their won-lost records but also, uniquely, by their conferences’ strength (see #4). 

4. These rankings provide the most accurate conference ratings.  Each conference is rated according to its non-conference won-lost record and the difficulty of its non-conference schedule. 


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