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Showing Which Teams Have the Best Win-Loss Records Considering Their Schedules—to Date

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  • The top teams, and their order, are quite clear—as the top 5 teams are all separated by at least .015 from each other
  • Four of the next 10 teams (#6-15) are from the Pac-12
  • The top-ranked conference going into the bowls is the SEC, followed (in order) by the Big 12, Pac-12, ACC, and Big Ten
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The Jeff Anderson & Chris Hester
College Football Computer Rankings, as of Dec. 5

Nov. 28 Rankings
Nov. 21 Rankings
Nov. 14 Rankings
Nov. 7 Rankings
Oct. 31 Rankings

Final 2021-22 Rankings
Final ’21 Pre-Bowl Rankings

Rating
 W 
 L 
Sched.
Strength
Sched. 
Rank
vs. Current
Top-10
vs. Current
#11-25
Other 
Losses
1.
Georgia
.844
13
0
.574
25
1-0
4-0
0
2.
Michigan
.823
13
0
.537
49
2-0
0-0
0
3.
TCU
.806
12
1
.575
24
1-1
2-0
0
4.
Ohio State
.788
11
1
.554
35
1-1
1-0
0
5.
Alabama
.773
10
2
.593
13
0-1
3-1
0
6.
Tennessee
.764
10
2
.581
21
1-1
1-1
0
7.
USC
.749
11
2
.552
37
0-0
3-2
0
8.
Kansas State
.749
10
3
.604
7
1-1
1-2
0
9.
Penn State
.746
10
2
.557
33
0-2
0-0
0
10.
Clemson
.735
11
2
.534
50
0-0
1-2
0

Rank Team 
Rating
 W 
 L 
Sched. 
Strength
Sched. 
Rank
Conference
Rankings
Rating
W*
 L*
Sched.
Strength*
11.
Texas
.725
8
4
.637
1
  Southeastern
.648
49
7
.411
12.
Utah
.704
10
3
.549
45
  Big 12
.634
25
5
.426
13.
LSU
.703
9
4
.597
11
  Pac-12
.591
26
10
.455
14.
Oregon
.701
9
3
.558
32
  Atlantic Coast
.558
37
18
.453
15.
Washington
.697
10
2
.497
67
  Big Ten
.546
32
10
.386
16.
Florida State
.695
9
3
.551
39
  American Athletic
.481
24
19
.447
17.
Tulane
.686
11
2
.475
74
  Sun Belt
.459
31
23
.415
18.
Mississippi State
.680
8
4
.586
15
  Conference USA
.403
19
26
.449
19.
Oregon State
.679
9
3
.533
52
  Mountain West
.397
20
28
.446
20.
Mississippi
.675
8
4
.580
22
  Mid-American
.391
18
30
.465
21.
Troy
.673
11
2
.459
79
  *non-conference play
22.
UCLA
.667
9
3
.518
57
 
23.
South Carolina
.664
8
4
.569
27
 
24.
Texas Tech
.654
7
5
.608
5
 
25.
Notre Dame
.648
8
4
.551
38
 
n/a n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a


 

RANK Team Rating Win Lose Schedule Strength Schedule Strength BCS Football Rankings RANK Team Rating Win Lose Schedule Strength Schedule Strength
Rank Team 
Rating
W
L
Sched. 
Strength
Sched. 
Rank
  Rank Team 
Rating
W
L
Sched. 
Strength
Sched. 
Rank
26.
N.C. State
.639
8
4
.541
47
 
79.
Miami, Fla.
.465
5
7
.515
58
27.
UTSA
.634
11
2
.417
111
 
80.
Connecticut
.456
6
6
.456
81
28.
North Carolina
.627
9
4
.512
61
 
81.
Louisiana 
.455
6
6
.455
82
29.
Kentucky
.624
7
5
.576
23
 
82.
Appalachian St.
.453
6
6
.453
84
30.
Oklahoma State
.621
7
5
.573
26
 
83.
Toledo
.450
8
5
.382
127
31.
South Alabama
.620
10
2
.412
114
 
84.
Rutgers
.448
4
8
.549
43
32.
Illinois
.613
8
4
.513
60
 
85.
California
.448
4
8
.549
44
33.
Louisville
.610
7
5
.562
30
 
86.
Georgia Southern
.446
6
6
.446
88
34.
Purdue
.608
8
5
.540
48
 
87.
North Texas
.441
7
6
.418
107
35.
Pittsburgh
.607
8
4
.507
62
 
88.
Mid. Tenn. St.
.437
7
5
.388
123
36.
Kansas
.605
6
6
.605
6
 
89.
Utah State
.436
6
6
.436
97
37.
Syracuse
.603
7
5
.554
36
 
90.
Nebraska
.432
4
8
.533
51
38.
Cincinnati
.603
9
3
.449
85
 
91.
Stanford
.430
3
9
.583
18
39.
Florida
.602
6
6
.602
8
 
92.
UAB
.428
6
6
.428
102
40.
Oklahoma
.599
6
6
.599
10
 
93.
Eastern Michigan
.425
8
4
.330
131
41.
Maryland
.599
7
5
.550
42
 
94.
Army
.418
5
6
.444
92
42.
Arkansas
.597
6
6
.597
12
 
95.
Bowling Green
.417
6
6
.417
109
43.
Wake Forest
.595
7
5
.546
46
 
96.
Tulsa
.405
5
7
.454
83
44.
Minnesota
.594
8
4
.494
68
 
97.
Navy
.403
4
7
.484
70
45.
Coastal Carolina
.593
9
3
.439
96
 
98.
LA Monroe
.399
4
8
.499
65
46.
UCF
.592
9
4
.475
72
 
99.
Virginia
.399
3
7
.520
56
47.
Baylor
.589
6
6
.589
14
 
100.
Kent State
.397
5
7
.446
89
48.
Missouri
.586
6
6
.586
16
 
101.
Boston College
.397
3
9
.550
40
49.
Washington State
.581
7
5
.531
53
 
102.
Arizona State
.397
3
9
.550
41
50.
Iowa
.573
7
5
.523
55
 
103.
Georgia State
.383
4
8
.482
71
51.
Auburn
.569
5
7
.617
3
 
104.
Rice
.383
5
7
.432
100
52.
James Madison
.562
8
3
.423
104
 
105.
Buffalo
.383
6
6
.383
125
53.
Fresno State
.560
9
4
.443
93
 
106.
Miami, Ohio
.382
6
6
.382
128
54.
Duke
.559
8
4
.458
80
 
107.
UNLV
.369
5
7
.417
112
55.
Boise State
.552
9
4
.435
98
 
108.
New Mexico State
.366
6
6
.366
130
56.
West Virginia
.551
5
7
.600
9
 
109.
Florida Atlantic
.364
5
7
.412
115
57.
SMU
.549
7
5
.499
63
 
110.
Virginia Tech
.362
3
8
.499
66
58.
BYU
.549
7
5
.499
64
 
111.
UTEP
.359
5
7
.406
118
59.
Marshall
.548
8
4
.447
87
 
112.
Ball State
.356
5
7
.404
119
60.
Houston
.540
7
5
.490
69
 
113.
Colorado
.355
1
11
.623
2
61.
Vanderbilt
.536
5
7
.585
17
 
114.
Western Michigan
.353
5
7
.400
120
62.
Michigan State
.533
5
7
.583
19
 
115.
Texas State
.346
4
8
.442
95
63.
Air Force
.530
9
3
.378
129
 
116.
Old Dominion
.327
3
9
.475
73
64.
Wisconsin
.529
6
6
.529
54
 
117.
Central Michigan
.319
4
8
.413
113
65.
Georgia Tech
.518
5
7
.568
28
 
118.
Arkansas State
.315
3
9
.461
78
66.
East Carolina
.515
7
5
.465
77
 
119.
Louisiana Tech
.302
3
9
.446
90
67.
Texas A&M
.514
5
7
.564
29
 
120.
Colorado State
.299
3
9
.443
94
68.
Iowa State
.510
4
8
.610
4
 
121.
Northwestern
.299
1
11
.562
31
69.
Liberty
.508
8
4
.408
117
 
122.
Fla. International
.296
4
8
.387
124
70.
Arizona
.506
5
7
.556
34
 
123.
Temple
.292
3
9
.434
99
71.
Ohio
.498
9
4
.382
126
 
124.
Hawaii
.292
3
10
.446
91
72.
Western Kentucky
.490
8
5
.421
106
 
125.
Charlotte
.271
3
9
.408
116
73.
Wyoming
.481
7
5
.431
101
 
126.
South Florida
.260
1
11
.513
59
74.
Indiana
.481
4
8
.582
20
 
127.
New Mexico
.257
2
10
.447
86
75.
San Diego State
.476
7
5
.426
103
 
128.
Northern Illinois
.257
3
9
.391
122
76.
San Jose State
.474
7
4
.393
121
 
129.
Nevada
.238
2
10
.421
105
77.
Southern Miss
.471
6
6
.471
75
 
130.
Akron
.234
2
10
.417
110
78.
Memphis
.468
6
6
.468
76
 
131.
Massachusetts
.193
1
11
.418
108

 
The Anderson & Hester Rankings are distinct in four ways: 

1. Unlike the polls, these rankings do not reward teams for running up scores.  Teams are rewarded for beating quality opponents, which is the object of the game.  Posting large margins of victory, which is not the object of the game, is not considered. 

2. Unlike the polls, these rankings do not prejudge teams.  These rankings first appear after the season’s ninth week, and each team’s ranking reflects its actual accomplishments — on the field, to date — not its perceived potential. 

3. These rankings compute the most accurate strength of schedule ratings.  Each team’s opponents and opponents’ opponents are judged not only by their won-lost records but also, uniquely, by their conferences’ strength (see #4). 

4. These rankings provide the most accurate conference ratings.  Each conference is rated according to its non-conference won-lost record and the difficulty of its non-conference schedule. 


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