AndersonSports: The Jeff Anderson & Chris Hester College Football Computer Rankings

Part of the BCS Throughout Its Entire 16-Year Run...

Showing Which Teams Have the Best Win-Loss Records Considering Their Schedules—to Date

Ohio St. & LSU Are Essentially Tied for #1

If the season ended today, the 5 teams that would have accomplished the most, based on winning against strong competition, would be Ohio St., LSU, Wisconsin, Penn St., and Clemson
The Buckeyes edge the Tigers for the top spot based on the fourth decimal point
#3 Wisconsin, #4 Penn St., and #5 Clemson are all within .001 of each other
There is comparatively little separation among the top-10 (just .036 separates #1 and #10), in part because none of those teams have yet played each other, while they collectively have just 6 wins vs. the current top-25—in other words, the top teams haven’t been tested very much yet
Navy cracks the top-25

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The Jeff Anderson & Chris Hester
College Football Computer Rankings, as of Oct. 14

•Oct. 7 Rankings

•Final 2018-19 Rankings
•Final ’18 Pre-Bowl Rankings

		Rating	W	L	Sched. Strength	Sched. Rank	vs. Current Top-10	vs. Current #11-25	Other Losses
1.	Ohio State	.821	6	0	.534	27	0-0	1-0	0
2.	LSU	.821	6	0	.534	28	0-0	2-0	0
3.	Wisconsin	.813	6	0	.521	41	0-0	1-0	0
4.	Penn State	.812	6	0	.519	43	0-0	0-0	0
5.	Clemson	.812	6	0	.519	46	0-0	0-0	0
6.	Alabama	.804	6	0	.506	59	0-0	0-0	0
7.	Boise State	.799	6	0	.499	67	0-0	0-0	0
8.	SMU	.795	6	0	.492	73	0-0	0-0	0
9.	Oklahoma	.789	6	0	.483	81	0-0	1-0	0
10.	Auburn	.785	5	1	.609	5	0-0	1-1	0

Rank	Team	Rating	W	L	Sched. Strength	Sched. Rank	Conference Rankings	Rating	W*	L*	Sched. Strength*
11.	Appalachian St.	.767	5	0	.452	99	Big Ten	.627	31	8	.445
12.	Baylor	.766	6	0	.450	100	Big 12	.603	24	6	.416
13.	Minnesota	.757	6	0	.438	106	Southeastern	.600	31	11	.454
14.	Oregon	.746	5	1	.557	19	Pac-12	.578	24	11	.466
15.	Notre Dame	.729	5	1	.535	24	American Athletic	.575	32	13	.446
16.	Cincinnati	.728	5	1	.534	25	Atlantic Coast	.573	30	12	.443
17.	Michigan	.726	5	1	.531	31	Mountain West	.504	27	16	.427
18.	Florida	.715	6	1	.500	65	Sun Belt	.460	19	18	.452
19.	Arizona State	.704	5	1	.505	60	Conference USA	.425	22	29	.465
20.	Wake Forest	.693	5	1	.491	74	Mid-American	.403	18	30	.478
21.	Texas	.687	4	2	.594	7	*non-conference play
22.	Navy	.682	4	1	.503	64
23.	Georgia	.676	5	1	.471	86
24.	Memphis	.672	5	1	.467	92
25.	Missouri	.671	5	1	.466	95


Rank	Team	Rating	W	L	Sched. Strength	Sched. Rank	Rank	Team	Rating	W	L	Sched. Strength	Sched. Rank
26.	Iowa	.670	4	2	.575	14	79.	Purdue	.492	2	4	.592	9
27.	Michigan State	.670	4	3	.631	2	80.	LA Monroe	.488	3	3	.488	77
28.	Tulane	.653	5	1	.446	102	81.	Liberty	.482	4	2	.383	128
29.	Louisville	.649	4	2	.553	20	82.	Mississippi	.482	3	4	.525	37
30.	Washington	.649	5	2	.522	40	83.	Arkansas State	.474	3	3	.474	85
31.	Temple	.647	5	1	.440	104	84.	Boston College	.470	3	3	.470	88
32.	Florida State	.637	3	3	.637	1	85.	Army	.467	3	3	.467	91
33.	Iowa State	.631	4	2	.533	29	86.	Georgia Southern	.463	2	3	.523	38
34.	California	.624	4	2	.525	35	87.	Central Michigan	.458	4	3	.416	120
35.	Hawaii	.624	4	2	.525	36	88.	Marshall	.456	3	3	.456	96
36.	North Carolina	.619	3	3	.619	3	89.	Miami, Ohio	.451	2	4	.552	21
37.	Air Force	.617	4	2	.518	48	90.	Ball State	.446	3	3	.446	101
38.	Virginia	.615	4	2	.516	49	91.	Washington State	.438	3	3	.438	105
39.	Pittsburgh	.614	4	2	.515	51	92.	San Jose State	.436	3	3	.436	107
40.	Arizona	.614	4	2	.515	52	93.	BYU	.435	2	4	.536	23
41.	Utah	.614	5	1	.405	123	94.	East Carolina	.432	3	3	.432	111
42.	San Diego State	.610	5	1	.401	124	95.	Mid. Tenn. St.	.430	2	4	.531	32
43.	Oklahoma State	.603	4	2	.503	63	96.	Eastern Michigan	.424	3	3	.424	112
44.	UCF	.600	4	2	.500	66	97.	Fla. International	.421	3	3	.421	113
45.	Duke	.595	4	2	.495	70	98.	Fresno State	.420	2	3	.480	83
46.	Florida Atlantic	.595	4	2	.495	71	99.	Houston	.418	2	4	.519	45
47.	Louisiana Tech	.593	5	1	.384	127	100.	Tennessee	.418	2	4	.519	47
48.	Colorado	.591	3	3	.591	10	101.	Coastal Carolina	.417	3	3	.417	118
49.	South Carolina	.586	3	3	.586	11	102.	Northwestern	.410	1	4	.596	6
50.	Indiana	.584	4	2	.484	79	103.	Kansas	.409	2	4	.510	55
51.	N.C. State	.584	4	2	.483	80	104.	Texas State	.409	2	4	.509	57
52.	TCU	.579	3	2	.519	44	105.	Bowling Green	.408	2	4	.508	58
53.	Mississippi State	.575	3	3	.575	13	106.	Oregon State	.405	2	4	.505	61
54.	Utah State	.574	3	2	.514	53	107.	Illinois	.397	2	4	.497	68
55.	Nebraska	.573	4	3	.530	33	108.	Charlotte	.391	2	4	.491	75
56.	Nevada	.572	4	2	.471	87	109.	North Texas	.390	2	4	.490	76
57.	USC	.570	3	3	.570	15	110.	Buffalo	.381	2	4	.480	82
58.	Wyoming	.568	4	2	.467	93	111.	UNLV	.371	2	4	.470	89
59.	Louisiana	.567	4	2	.466	94	112.	UCLA	.368	1	5	.576	12
60.	Kansas State	.565	3	2	.505	62	113.	Troy	.362	2	3	.419	116
61.	Stanford	.560	3	3	.560	17	114.	Georgia Tech	.354	1	5	.561	16
62.	Texas A&M	.559	3	3	.559	18	115.	Arkansas	.340	2	4	.436	108
63.	West Virginia	.541	3	3	.541	22	116.	Ohio	.339	2	4	.434	109
64.	Southern Miss	.534	4	2	.433	110	117.	Vanderbilt	.329	1	5	.534	26
65.	Kentucky	.527	3	3	.527	34	118.	Colorado State	.329	2	5	.453	97
66.	Texas Tech	.522	3	3	.522	39	119.	Rutgers	.327	1	5	.532	30
67.	Georgia State	.520	4	2	.420	114	120.	Northern Illinois	.325	2	4	.419	115
68.	Maryland	.520	3	3	.520	42	121.	UTSA	.324	2	4	.418	117
69.	UAB	.520	5	1	.317	130	122.	New Mexico	.314	2	4	.407	122
70.	Western Kentucky	.517	4	2	.416	119	123.	Connecticut	.289	1	5	.487	78
71.	Tulsa	.515	2	4	.615	4	124.	South Alabama	.280	1	5	.475	84
72.	Kent State	.515	3	3	.515	50	125.	UTEP	.274	1	4	.445	103
73.	Toledo	.515	4	2	.414	121	126.	Rice	.267	0	6	.593	8
74.	Miami, Fla.	.514	3	3	.514	54	127.	Old Dominion	.262	1	5	.453	98
75.	Western Michigan	.512	4	3	.469	90	128.	New Mexico State	.198	0	7	.496	69
76.	Syracuse	.510	3	3	.510	56	129.	Massachusetts	.192	1	6	.372	129
77.	South Florida	.493	3	3	.493	72	130.	Akron	.142	0	6	.398	125
78.	Virginia Tech	.492	4	2	.393	126

The Anderson & Hester Rankings are distinct in four ways:

1. Unlike the polls, these rankings do not reward teams for running up scores. Teams are rewarded for beating quality opponents, which is the object of the game. Posting large margins of victory, which is not the object of the game, is not considered.

2. Unlike the polls, these rankings do not prejudge teams. These rankings first appear after the season's sixth week, and each team's ranking reflects its actual accomplishments — on the field, to date — not its perceived potential.

3. These rankings compute the most accurate strength of schedule ratings. Each team's opponents and opponents' opponents are judged not only by their won-lost records but also, uniquely, by their conferences' strength (see #4).

4. These rankings provide the most accurate conference ratings. Each conference is rated according to its non-conference won-lost record and the difficulty of its non-conference schedule.